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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 49.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Saints being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

The projections expect this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 138.5 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a monstrous 61.1 per game on average).

Our trusted projections expect Jamaal Williams to earn 15.4 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 79th percentile among RBs.

The leading projections forecast Jamaal Williams to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack in this week's game (55.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (27.2% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to run on 40.4% of their plays: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

Jamaal Williams has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (23.0) this year than he did last year (66.0).

Jamaal Williams's rushing efficiency has tailed off this year, compiling a measly 2.95 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.35 mark last year.

As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Atlanta's DT corps has been tremendous this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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