My Account Log Out

reorder

Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -133.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is indicated by the Saints being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 63.4 plays per game.

This year, the fierce Panthers run defense has surrendered a puny 5.01 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 31st-smallest rate in the NFL.

The Panthers linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.

Jamaal Williams has been a much smaller part of his team's run game this season (23.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (56.8%).

Jamaal Williams's 18.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year signifies a noteworthy drop-off in his running talent over last year's 66.0 rate.

Jamaal Williams's rushing effectiveness has tailed off this year, notching just 2.78 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 4.35 rate last year.

More Jamaal Williams Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™