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Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-121/-119).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Saints are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.The Saints have been the 6th-most run-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 44.3% run rate.THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to accrue 15.9 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.Jamaal Williams has received 56.8% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile among running backs.Jamaal Williams has grinded out 66.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest marks in football among running backs (91st percentile).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The New Orleans Saints have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.1 plays per game.This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.Opposing offenses have rushed for the 2nd-least yards in the league (just 78 per game) vs. the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season.The Tennessee Titans defensive ends project as the 5th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.
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