Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 56.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 56.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 10th-most run-heavy offense in football (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 40.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to accrue 15.0 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among RBs.
Jamaal Williams has earned 60.0% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year at opening holes for rushers.
Jamaal Williams has run for substantially more yards per game (70.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 125.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

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