Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Miami Dolphins · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 4:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.6% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 27.70 seconds per snap.
The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year in run blocking.
Jamaal Williams has rushed for a lot more yards per game (74.0) this season than he did last season (46.0).
Jamaal Williams's running efficiency has gotten better this year, accumulating 4.80 yards-per-carry compared to just 3.93 figure last year.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to be a much smaller part of his offense's run game this week (44.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (60.7% in games he has played).
Opposing offenses have rushed for the 8th-least yards in the league (just 106 per game) vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year.
The Miami Dolphins defensive ends profile as the 3rd-best collection of DEs in the league this year with their run defense.

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