Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Detroit Lions vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 40.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in football (in a neutral context) right now with a 42.4% run rate.
The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 9th-quickest pace in the NFL (context-neutralized) since the start of last season, averaging 25.27 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to accumulate 13.8 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
Jamaal Williams has earned 50.3% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, putting him in the 84th percentile among running backs.
Jamaal Williams has generated 46.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in football among RBs (78th percentile).

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jamaal Williams's ground effectiveness (3.89 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (24th percentile among RBs).
Jamaal Williams has been among the worst RBs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a mere 2.67 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 24th percentile.
The Washington Commanders defensive ends rank as the 5th-best group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

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