Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Carolina Panthers vs Detroit Lions · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Detroit Lions O-line profiles as the 4th-best in football this year at run-game blocking.
Jamaal Williams has rushed for substantially more yards per game (64.0) this year than he did last year (46.0).
Opposing teams have rushed for the 10th-most yards in the league (134 per game) vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year.
The Detroit Lions have risked going for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which typically means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-least plays run on the slate this week at 124.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to be a much smaller part of his team's run game this week (42.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (58.2% in games he has played).
The Carolina Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year with their run defense.
The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box versus opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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