Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

New York Jets vs Detroit Lions · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (+102/-134).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 47.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 7th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to accumulate 14.9 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
Jamaal Williams has garnered 59.2% of his offense's carries this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile among running backs.
The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year at blocking for the run game.
Jamaal Williams has rushed for significantly more yards per game (66.0) this year than he did last year (46.0).

Favors Under

Jamaal Williams has been among the bottom RBs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a mere 2.59 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 11th percentile.
The New York Jets defense has produced the 4th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, conceding just 4.17 yards-per-carry.
The New York Jets defensive tackles grade out as the 6th-best DT corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.
The New York Jets have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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