Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

New York Giants vs Detroit Lions · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-146/+111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 59.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 59.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 41.9% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to accumulate 16.2 carries in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 87th percentile among running backs.
Jamaal Williams has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this season (62.3% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (51.2%).

Favors Under

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

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