Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Rushing Yards

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 8:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 61.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 61.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 61.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 8th-most run-heavy team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.4% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to earn 16.6 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 86th percentile among running backs.
Jamaal Williams has been a more important option in his offense's run game this season (63.1% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (51.2%).
The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL this year in run blocking.
Jamaal Williams has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (72.0) this year than he did last year (46.0).

Favors Under

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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