My Account Log Out
 
 
Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 14

Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jamaal Williams Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-121/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +129 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 10th-most run-heavy team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 44.9% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Detroit Lions offensive line grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year at run-game blocking.
  • Jamaal Williams has rushed for 1.08 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest marks in the NFL among RBs (100th percentile).
  • Opposing squads have rushed for the 7th-most touchdowns in the NFL (1.08 per game) against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to be a much smaller part of his offense's running game near the goal line this week (36.7% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (67.2% in games he has played).
  • The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles project as the best unit in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™