My Account Log Out

reorder

Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions

Jamaal Williams Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+124/-168).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +147 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the best in the NFL this year in run blocking.

Jamaal Williams has rushed for 0.88 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest marks in the NFL among running backs (97th percentile).

Opposing squads have run for the most TDs in the league (1.67 per game) vs. the Chicago Bears defense this year.

The Chicago Bears defensive ends project as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to be much less involved in his team's run game near the goal line this week (69.7% projected Red Zone Carry Share) than he has been this year (82.1% in games he has played).

More Jamaal Williams Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™