Jamaal Williams Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Receptions

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM EST

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-172/+133).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -164 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -172.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.7 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Favors Under

The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Jamaal Williams's pass-catching performance worsened this season, compiling just 1.0 yards per game vs 2.0 last season.
Jamaal Williams's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 92.9% to 62.5%.
The Dallas Cowboys safeties rank as the 5th-best group of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.
The Detroit Lions offensive line has afforded their QB a measly 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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