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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 59.6% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 138.5 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the New Orleans Saints this year (a monstrous 61.1 per game on average).

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.

The model projects Jamaal Williams to garner 4.2 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 90th percentile among RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is implied by the Saints being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.

Jamaal Williams has compiled a measly -3.0 air yards per game this year: a lowly 11th percentile among running backs.

When it comes to pass protection (and the effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the New Orleans Saints grades out as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

With a poor 5.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (20th percentile) this year, Jamaal Williams places as one of the worst pass-catching RBs in football.

Jamaal Williams's receiving efficiency has diminished this year, compiling a measly 3.43 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 4.54 figure last year.

More Jamaal Williams Player Props

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