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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -175 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 60.8% of their opportunities: the 9th-highest rate among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a massive 61.4 per game on average).

Opposing teams have averaged 38.2 pass attempts per game versus the Rams defense this year: 7th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The New Orleans O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Jamaal Williams is positioned as one of the weakest RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a measly 3.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 11th percentile among running backs.

Jamaal Williams's 3.1 adjusted yards per target this year conveys an impressive regression in his pass-catching skills over last year's 4.5 mark.

Jamaal Williams profiles as one of the bottom RBs in football at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a mere 5.20 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 25th percentile.

The Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 24.0) vs. running backs this year.

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