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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 63.4 plays per game.
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
  • Jamaal Williams has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this season, playing on just 30.0% of snaps compared to 40.1% last season.
  • Jamaal Williams's 100.0% Adjusted Catch Rate this year signifies an impressive boost in his receiving skills over last year's 74.5% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Saints being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in football.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the ramifications it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Saints grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year.
  • Jamaal Williams grades out as one of the worst pass-game running backs this year, averaging a measly 4.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 15th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jamaal Williams's pass-game effectiveness has tailed off this year, accumulating a mere 3.64 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 4.54 mark last year.

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