Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 40.7 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in football.

Favors Under

The Detroit Lions O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
Jamaal Williams has posted many fewer receiving yards per game (6.0) this season than he did last season (12.0).
Jamaal Williams's sure-handedness have tailed off this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 92.9% to 62.5%.
Jamaal Williams's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this year, totaling a mere 3.72 yards-per-target compared to a 5.55 mark last year.
Jamaal Williams has been among the weakest RBs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a measly 5.35 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 5th percentile.

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