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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.63 seconds per snap.

Jamaal Williams has totaled a colossal 6.0 air yards per game this year: 88th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are targeted behind the line of scrimmage).

The New England Patriots defense has surrendered the 7th-most receiving yards per game in the league (41.0) to running backs this year.

The New England Patriots pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency versus RBs since the start of last season, surrendering 7.03 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Jamaal Williams has notched significantly fewer receiving yards per game (7.0) this season than he did last season (12.0).

Jamaal Williams's receiving reliability have declined this season, with his Completion% decreasing from 92.9% to 62.5%.

More Jamaal Williams Player Props

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