Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Receiving Yards

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-122).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 5.5-point underdog this week, which points towards a passing game script.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Jamaal Williams has been among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among RBs, completing an impressive 92.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile.
The Philadelphia Eagles defense has given up the 10th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (39.0) versus RBs since the start of last season.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has given up the 5th-highest Completion% in football (86.1%) versus running backs since the start of last season (86.1%).

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions as the 4th-least pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 58.3% pass rate.
Jamaal Williams has accrued a meager 0.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 23rd percentile among running backs.
Jamaal Williams has been among the worst running backs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 4.54 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while checking in at the 8th percentile.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has performed very well when opposing running backs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.72 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 2nd-least in the league.
The Detroit Lions O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.53 seconds before the pass (9th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.