Jamaal Williams Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · New Orleans Saints

Carries

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +106 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A running game script is indicated by the Saints being a 5.5-point favorite in this game.
Our trusted projections expect this game to see the 2nd-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.1 plays, accounting for the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a staggering 63.4 plays per game.
The Panthers linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may suffer.
Jamaal Williams has been a much smaller part of his team's run game this season (23.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (56.8%).

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