Jamaal Williams Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · New Orleans Saints

Carries

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to call the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 64.7 per game on average).

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 40.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
After accounting for 56.8% of his offense's rushing play calls last year, Jamaal Williams has been less involved in the run game this year, now making up just 27.9%.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Minnesota's DT corps has been excellent this year, projecting as the 4th-best in the league.

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