Jamaal Williams Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · New Orleans Saints

Carries

New Orleans Saints vs Tennessee Titans · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
The Saints have been the 6th-most run-oriented team in the league (context-neutralized) since the start of last season with a 44.3% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to accrue 15.9 carries this week, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.
Jamaal Williams has received 56.8% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 94th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Saints to run the 5th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New Orleans Saints have run the 8th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.1 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
The Tennessee Titans defensive ends project as the 5th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to stopping the run.

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