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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 5

New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions

Jamaal Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-115).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 9th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 43.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 7th-quickest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.63 seconds per snap.

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to notch 19.9 carries in this game, on average, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.

THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to be a more integral piece of his team's run game this week (69.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (59.2% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script.

The New England Patriots have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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