Jamaal Williams Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Detroit Lions vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:10 PM EST

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Lions are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 6th-most run-oriented team in football (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 41.6% run rate.
The Detroit Lions offense has played at the 10th-fastest pace in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.77 seconds per snap.
THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to garner 18.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 91st percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to be a more integral piece of his offense's rushing attack this week (65.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (53.2% in games he has played).

Favors Under

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
The Seattle Seahawks defensive tackles project as the best collection of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.
The Seattle Seahawks have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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