Jamaal Williams Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Jamaal Williams

NFL · Player Props

Jamaal Williams

RB · Detroit Lions

Carries

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jamaal Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to earn 13.7 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
Jamaal Williams has received 57.9% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst LB corps in the league this year with their run defense.
The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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