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Jamaal Williams

Jamaal Williams Carries
Player Prop Week 18

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Jamaal Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to earn 13.7 carries in this contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • Jamaal Williams has received 57.9% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 91st percentile among running backs.
  • The Detroit Lions O-line grades out as the 6th-best in the NFL this year at opening holes for runners.
  • The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 5th-worst LB corps in the league this year with their run defense.
  • The Green Bay Packers have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 8.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Lions are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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