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Jamaal Williams Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +100.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Lions to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.THE BLITZ projects Jamaal Williams to total 14.6 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.Jamaal Williams has garnered 60.9% of his team's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 94th percentile among RBs.The Detroit Lions offensive line profiles as the best in football this year in run blocking.The Detroit Lions have elected to go for it on 4th down 27.9% of the time since the start of last season (most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive statistics across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Lions are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.THE BLITZ projects the Detroit Lions to be the 7th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 36.6% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box against opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
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