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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

San Francisco 49ers vs Dallas Cowboys

Jalen Tolbert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+122/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 63.2% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-most total plays among all teams this week with 66.2 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.

Jalen Tolbert has gone out for fewer passes this year (85.1% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (39.5%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to pass-blocking (and the effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Cowboys profiles as the 2nd-worst in the NFL this year.

The 49ers pass defense has allowed the lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (56%) vs. WRs this year (56.0%).

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, San Francisco's LB corps has been outstanding this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the league.

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