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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jalen Tolbert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -160.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 131.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Jalen Tolbert has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (80.3% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (39.5%).
  • Jalen Tolbert's 3.3 adjusted catches per game this season signifies a noteable boost in his receiving prowess over last season's 1.7 rate.
  • Jalen Tolbert's 77.8% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a material improvement in his receiving ability over last year's 61.9% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • The Steelers pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.8%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (61.8%).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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