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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jalen Tolbert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+112/-146).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to start backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • The Cowboys are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 59.7% of their chances: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have 133.0 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.4 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • When talking about protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • The Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (60.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (60.9%).
  • The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks grade out as the best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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