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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Jalen Tolbert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+112/-146).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to start backup QB Cooper Rush in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

The Cowboys are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating an extreme passing game script.

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to pass on 59.7% of their chances: the 8th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have 133.0 total plays called: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

The Dallas Cowboys have run the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 60.4 plays per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year.

The Eagles pass defense has surrendered the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (60.9%) vs. wide receivers this year (60.9%).

The Philadelphia Eagles cornerbacks grade out as the best unit in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

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