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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Receptions
Player Prop Week 11

Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans

 
 
 
Jalen Tolbert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cowboys may lean on the pass less this week (and call more rushes) as a result of being be forced to start backup quarterback Cooper Rush.
  • An extreme passing game script is indicated by the Cowboys being a huge -7.5-point underdog in this week's game.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 60.6% of their plays: the 6th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.5 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cowboys have run the 8th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Texans, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.3 per game) this year.
  • The Dallas offensive line ranks as the worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
  • The Houston Texans pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (59.1%) to WRs this year (59.1%).
  • When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Houston's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 10th-best in the league.

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