Jalen Tolbert Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jalen Tolbert

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Tolbert

WR · Dallas Cowboys

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Tolbert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Cowboys as the 8th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Dallas Cowboys to call the 8th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The 4th-most plays in the NFL have been called by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a monstrous 61.2 per game on average).
Jalen Tolbert's 39.4% Route Participation Rate this season shows a remarkable improvement in his passing game utilization over last season's 15.1% rate.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.3%) to wide receivers this year (72.3%).

Favors Under

As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Buffalo's CB corps has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.

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