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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Dallas Cowboys

Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 131.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Jalen Tolbert has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (80.3% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (39.5%).

Jalen Tolbert has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (59.0 per game) than he did last season (28.0 per game).

Jalen Tolbert's 40.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season marks a noteworthy progression in his receiving ability over last season's 22.0 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.

With a bad 1.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (5th percentile) this year, Jalen Tolbert places among the best pass-catching wide receivers in the league in picking up extra yardage.

The Steelers pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.8%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (61.8%).

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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