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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cowboys to pass on 59.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to have the most plays run among all games this week at 131.5 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Jalen Tolbert has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (80.3% Route Participation% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (39.5%).
  • Jalen Tolbert has totaled quite a few more air yards this season (59.0 per game) than he did last season (28.0 per game).
  • Jalen Tolbert's 40.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season marks a noteworthy progression in his receiving ability over last season's 22.0 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.8 pass attempts per game against the Steelers defense this year: 4th-fewest in football.
  • With a bad 1.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (5th percentile) this year, Jalen Tolbert places among the best pass-catching wide receivers in the league in picking up extra yardage.
  • The Steelers pass defense has allowed the 6th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (61.8%) vs. WRs since the start of last season (61.8%).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties profile as the 3rd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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