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Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Saints

Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Cowboys to be the 9th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 60.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to see 134.3 offensive plays called: the 2nd-most out of all the games this week.

The 7th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Dallas Cowboys since the start of last season (a colossal 60.2 per game on average).

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The model projects Jalen Tolbert to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack in this game (11.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (5.7% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a 6-point favorite this week.

Jalen Tolbert has been one of the weakest WRs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 1.09 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 6th percentile.

The Saints pass defense has allowed the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (58.7%) to WRs since the start of last season (58.7%).

The Saints safeties profile as the 10th-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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