My Account Log Out

reorder

Jalen Tolbert

Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cowboys will be forced to use backup quarterback Cooper Rush in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Cowboys are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.

The model projects the Cowboys as the 6th-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 61.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Cowboys are anticipated by our trusted projection set to call 67.0 offensive plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

The 3rd-most plays in football have been run by the Cowboys this year (a whopping 61.1 per game on average).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dallas O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

Jalen Tolbert comes in as one of the bottom wide receivers in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 2.08 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 10th percentile.

The Buccaneers pass defense has displayed good efficiency versus WRs this year, yielding 7.37 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-fewest in the league.

This year, the tough Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 5th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to opposing wide receivers: a puny 3.6 YAC.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers cornerbacks grade out as the 5th-best group of CBs in football this year in covering receivers.

More Jalen Tolbert Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™