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Jalen Tolbert
NFL · Player Props
Jalen Tolbert
WR · Dallas Cowboys
Receiving Yards
Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 14, 2023 Updated Dec 11, 2023 1:26 AM UTC
NFL Props Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards

Jalen Tolbert Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -113.

Favors Over
  • The Dallas Cowboys feature a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 7.2% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cowboys to pass on 62.1% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • As far as a defense's influence on tempo, at 27.89 seconds per play, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 10th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 41.9 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: most in the league.
Favors Under
  • This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Cowboys, who are favored by 3.5 points.
  • Jalen Tolbert comes in as one of the worst WRs in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging just 1.47 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 17th percentile.
  • This year, the fierce Eagles pass defense has conceded the 7th-least yards-after-the-catch in football to opposing WRs: a mere 3.5 YAC.
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