Jalen Reagor Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jalen Reagor

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Reagor

WR · New England Patriots

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 8, 2023 3:41 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Reagor Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.77 seconds per play.
While Jalen Reagor has received 5.1% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in New England's pass game in this week's game at 11.0%.
After accruing 13.0 air yards per game last year, Jalen Reagor has shown good development this year, currently averaging 26.0 per game.
The Steelers pass defense has displayed bad efficiency versus wideouts this year, surrendering 8.71 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 9th-most in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Patriots to be the 8th-least pass-heavy team in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 58.8% pass rate.
Jalen Reagor profiles as one of the bottom wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a mere 9.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 16th percentile among WRs.
This year, the tough Steelers defense has conceded a mere 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 8th-lowest rate in the NFL.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers profile as the 6th-best unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

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