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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 22

Philadelphia Eagles vs Kansas City Chiefs

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+176/-220).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +180 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +176.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 59.4 plays per game.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

Jalen Hurts's 69.0% Adjusted Completion% this year reflects an impressive gain in his passing accuracy over last year's 65.9% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 51.0% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 43.6% red zone pass rate.

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Eagles are anticipated by the model to call only 67.4 offensive plays in this contest: the fewest among all teams this week.

In this game, Jalen Hurts is anticipated by the predictive model to total the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.5.

Opposing offenses have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Chiefs defense this year: 8th-fewest in football.

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