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Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-164).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +144 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 5th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 59.6 plays per game.Jalen Hurts grades out as one of the best precision passers in football this year with an impressive 68.6% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 82nd percentile.When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, Washington's group of CBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the worst in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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With a 6-point advantage, the Eagles are favored in this week's contest, implying more of a reliance on running than their typical approach.The projections expect the Eagles as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 45.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.The leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 44.6% red zone pass rate.In this contest, Jalen Hurts is expected by the projection model to average the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 27.0. Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Commanders, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 25.9 per game) this year.
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