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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 14

Philadelphia Eagles vs Carolina Panthers

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Eagles are projected by the model to run 65.9 total plays in this game: the 8th-highest number on the slate this week.

The Philadelphia Eagles have run the 9th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 59.4 plays per game.

Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-highest clip in football versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year (73.2% Adjusted Completion%).

The Panthers defense has yielded the 3rd-most TDs through the air in football: 1.83 per game this year.

The Panthers cornerbacks grade out as the 9th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a big 14-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 42.9% of their plays: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

Right now, the least pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (44.6% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Philadelphia Eagles.

This week, Jalen Hurts is forecasted by the projections to wind up with the fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 26.4.

More Jalen Hurts Player Props

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