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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 1.0% more towards passing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Johnson now calling the plays.

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.

Jalen Hurts has attempted 37.4 throws per game this year, checking in at the 84th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

In regards to protecting the passer (and the strong impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

Jalen Hurts's 69.0% Adjusted Completion% this year illustrates a substantial progression in his passing accuracy over last year's 66.0% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

At the moment, the least pass-focused team in the league near the goal line (48.5% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Eagles.

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 6th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 28.64 seconds per snap.

Opposing QBs have averaged 28.4 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

This year, the formidable Dallas Cowboys defense has conceded a mere 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 3rd-best rate in football.

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