Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 12:06 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 6th-quickest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 27.40 seconds per snap.
In regards to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 3rd-best in football this year.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a running game script.
Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to pass on 52.1% of their plays: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
At the moment, the least pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (49.3% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Eagles.
In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is expected by our trusted projection set to average the 6th-fewest pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 30.7.
Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the New York Jets, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 34.6 per game) this year.

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