Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 15, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia Eagles boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Brian Johnson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.0% more towards passing than it did last year (context-neutralized).
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 9th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 59.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the NFL.
The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a strong effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a heavy 7-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team in the league near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 51.5% red zone pass rate.
The Minnesota Vikings safeties project as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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