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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 19

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.78 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to be the 7th-fastest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time.

The Philadelphia offensive line ranks as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-focused offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 44.5% red zone pass rate.

In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is predicted by the projections to wind up with the 3rd-fewest pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 31.4.

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