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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Philadelphia Eagles vs Arizona Cardinals

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to call the 10th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 65.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Philadelphia Eagles have called the 3rd-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 61.2 plays per game.

The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 8th-highest rate in the league vs. the Cardinals defense this year (72.8% Adjusted Completion%).

The Arizona Cardinals defense has been torched for the 4th-most passing TDs in the NFL: 1.80 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 12.5-point advantage, the Eagles are a heavy favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 46.5% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the least pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (44.1% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Eagles.

In this contest, Jalen Hurts is expected by the predictive model to total the 4th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 28.4.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game versus the Arizona Cardinals defense this year: 3rd-fewest in football.

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