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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

To the extent of a defense's impact on pace, at 27.47 seconds per play, the model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 5th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) right now.

When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Eagles ranks as the best in the NFL this year.

The New York cornerbacks grade out as the worst CB corps in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 14-point advantage, the Eagles are overwhelmingly favored this week, suggesting much more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 48.1% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 43.5% red zone pass rate.

The leading projections forecast Jalen Hurts to attempt 29.7 passes in this contest, on balance: the fewest among all QBs.

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