Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

Seattle Seahawks vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 1:11 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (37.5 per game) this year.
The Philadelphia O-line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing offense metrics across the board.
With a fantastic 67.5% Adjusted Completion% (79th percentile) this year, Jalen Hurts rates as one of the most accurate QBs in football.
This year, the deficient Seattle Seahawks defense has given up a monstrous 1.46 TDs through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 7th-highest rate in football.
When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Seattle's group of safeties has been lousy this year, profiling as the worst in football.

Favors Under

A passing game script is indicated by the Eagles being a -6.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
The predictive model expects the Eagles to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 50.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the least pass-focused team in football near the goal line (44.9% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Eagles.
Our trusted projections expect the Eagles offense to be the most sluggish paced team in the league (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.45 seconds per play.
In this week's contest, Jalen Hurts is predicted by the predictive model to wind up with the 7th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 30.5.

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