Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Jalen Hurts's passing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 60.3% to 68.1%.
The Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the most passing touchdowns in the NFL: 2.00 per game since the start of last season.
The Washington Commanders linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 52.3% red zone pass rate.
The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 27.2 passes this week, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.

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