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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 3

Washington Commanders vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Eagles to call the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 63.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Jalen Hurts's passing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 60.3% to 68.1%.
  • The Washington Commanders defense has surrendered the most passing touchdowns in the NFL: 2.00 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Washington Commanders linebackers project as the 2nd-worst collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Eagles are a 6-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 52.3% red zone pass rate.
  • The weatherman calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 27.2 passes this week, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.

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