Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

Philadelphia Eagles vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 20, 2022 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Minnesota Vikings defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Minnesota Vikings cornerbacks profile as the worst unit in the NFL since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line has given their quarterback 2.90 seconds before the pass (best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 48.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 52.2% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 29.4 passes this week, on average: the least of all quarterbacks.

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