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Jalen Hurts

Jalen Hurts TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 138.6 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The Philadelphia Eagles offensive line ranks as the best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Jalen Hurts's passing precision has been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 59.6% to 66.8%.

The New York Giants linebackers profile as the 3rd-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Eagles are a big 17-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 2nd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 48.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 46.6% red zone pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 26.7 passes in this game, on average: the 6th-least of all QBs.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 8th-lowest rate in the league versus the New York Giants defense this year (67.7%).

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