Jalen Hurts TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Jalen Hurts

NFL · Player Props

Jalen Hurts

QB · Philadelphia Eagles

TD Passes

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Jalen Hurts TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, with opposing offenses averaging 27.58 seconds per play.
The Philadelphia Eagles O-line ranks as the best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Jalen Hurts's passing precision has improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 59.6% to 67.5%.
Jalen Hurts has been among the leading touchdown throwers in football this year, averaging a stellar 1.69 per game while ranking in the 82nd percentile.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 6th-highest rate in football versus the Chicago Bears defense this year (73.7%).

Favors Under

The Eagles are a massive 8.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles as the 3rd-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 48.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 47.3% red zone pass rate.
The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jalen Hurts to attempt 28.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 6th-least of all quarterbacks.

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